Charlotte vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Charlotte 0-1 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC nicked a narrow win over Charlotte 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; New York City FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Charlotte had 47% of the ball to New York City FC's 53%, shots finished 5-4, expected goals 0.46 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Charlotte and 1.17 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Charlotte 0-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 40%, draw 23%, New York City FC 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.