FC Cincinnati 3-5 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.17
Over 2.5
70%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
73%
1.32
No
27%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.69
2-3 Goals
36%
2.27
4-5 Goals
27%
2.32
6+ Goals
22%
3.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.06
1/2
7%
18.45
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
8%
7.35
X/2 EV+ ✓
20%
5.65
X/X
10%
6.95
2/1
5%
23.1
2/2
21%
2.71
2/X
6%
12.0
Value flag · X/2 at 5.65 — our 20% vs market 13.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
33%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.3pp
30%
Under 2.5
28%
+1.7pp
70%
Over 2.5
72%
-1.7pp
73%
BTTS Yes
72%
+1.2pp
27%
BTTS No
28%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.51/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.66
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
15.9 Crosses 10.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
402 Passes 434
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-4 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
27.07.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
17.07.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
25.08.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
07.07.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 6-1 HT 4-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
08.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
3-5
AWAY Inter Miami
1.47 xG 2.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
395 Passes 426
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Inter Miami beat FC Cincinnati 5-3 away from home in the USA - Major League on 14 May 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 70% and both teams to score was favoured at 73%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 47% of the ball to Inter Miami's 53%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.47 to 2.37.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.17 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?

FC Cincinnati 3-5 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 29%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 47%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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