Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Orlando City v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Orlando City 4-3 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City shaded a tight game against Philadelphia Union 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came home.
Under the surface, Orlando City had 54% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 46%, shots finished 12-26, expected goals 2.79 to 1.67.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Orlando City and 1.67 for Philadelphia Union.
Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score
Orlando City 4 - 3 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 41%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.