Jacuipense 1-4 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
68%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
41%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
10%
+3.1pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.9pp
68%
Away Win
72%
-4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jacuipense EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 77%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.44
+43% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +45%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
Crosses 20.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jacuipense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.11 xG 4.35
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 32
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 15
159 Passes 451
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Box Touches 54
5 Crosses 44
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.04.2026 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-0 HT 2-0 Jacuipense Jacuipense BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jacuipense
1-4
AWAY Palmeiras
0.18 xG 3.29
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
240 Passes 551
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
3 Box Touches 52
6 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jacuipense vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras cruised past Jacuipense 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jacuipense had 33% of the ball to Palmeiras's 67%, shots finished 3-25, expected goals 0.18 to 3.29.

What was the final score of Jacuipense vs Palmeiras?

Jacuipense 1-4 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Cup on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jacuipense vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Jacuipense 13%, draw 18%, Palmeiras 68%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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