Juventude 3-1 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 45%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.74/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.98
+140% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / -56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
31.8 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.71 xG 1.06
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
262 Passes 473
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2026 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BRK
23.11.2025 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-1 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
25.07.2025 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
05.12.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-2 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
22.07.2024 Juventude Juventude 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
23.10.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
3-1
AWAY Sao Paulo
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
335 Passes 207
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude beat Sao Paulo 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 58% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 42%, shots finished 24-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Juventude and 1.17 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Sao Paulo?

Juventude 3-1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Cup on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Juventude 29%, draw 29%, Sao Paulo 42%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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