Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
3-1
HT 2-0
Ceara
BR1
Ceara 2-1 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara nicked a narrow win over Atletico Mineiro 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ceara found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Ceara had 53% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 47%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.04 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ceara's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ceara and 1.17 for Atletico Mineiro.
What was the final score of Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro?
Ceara 2-1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Cup on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ceara 39%, draw 28%, Atletico Mineiro 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.