Vasco da Gama vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Paysandu
BR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Paysandu
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Vasco da Gama 2-2 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama and Paysandu shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Vasco da Gama carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 47% of the ball to Paysandu's 53%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 3.10 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.17 for Paysandu.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Paysandu?
Vasco da Gama 2-2 Paysandu in the Brazil - Cup on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Paysandu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 64%, draw 19%, Paysandu 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama), BTTS No went the other way.