Coritiba 0-2 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 14 May 2026

Coritiba
0-2 HT 0-2
Santos
📅14/05/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2026

Coritiba vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.99
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
30%
+10.8pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.3pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coritiba v Santos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 42%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.26
-100% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
– Crosses 16.7
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Coritiba vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Santos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2026 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BRK
12.11.2024 Coritiba Coritiba 0-2 HT 0-2 Santos Santos BR2
23.07.2024 Santos Santos 4-0 HT 2-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
27.10.2023 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
10.06.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
09.08.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-2 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1

Coritiba 0-2 Santos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
0-2
AWAY Santos
0.56 xG 0.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
397 Passes 324
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos beat Coritiba 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Coritiba at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Coritiba had 54% of the ball to Santos's 46%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.56 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Coritiba and 1.67 for Santos.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Santos?

Coritiba 0-2 Santos in the Brazil - Cup on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 41%, draw 26%, Santos 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Coritiba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5
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