Mirassol FC 2-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 43%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.71/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.60
+150% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
11.0 Crosses 22.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bragantino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.85 xG 1.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
278 Passes 360
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2026 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BRK
06.04.2026 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
02.10.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
06.05.2025 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
12.02.2023 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BRPL1
28.01.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
2-1
AWAY Bragantino
1.41 xG 1.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
261 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC nicked a narrow win over Bragantino 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mirassol FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 46% of the ball to Bragantino's 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.41 to 1.93 — on chances, Bragantino could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mirassol FC and 0.83 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Bragantino?

Mirassol FC 2-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Cup on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 38%, draw 23%, Bragantino 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bragantino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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