FC Kuressaare 1-2 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
59%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
7%
+11.2pp
23%
Draw
14%
+9.0pp
59%
Away Win
79%
-20.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 84%
+10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
0.97/2.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/0.57
+37% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +17%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
227 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
28% Ball Possession 72%
3 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
17.09.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
21.07.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
01.06.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
23.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.50 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia?

FC Kuressaare 1-2 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 18%, draw 23%, FC Levadia 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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