Tallinna Kalev 0-3 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
40%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+11.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
40%
Away Win
55%
-15.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 59%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.15/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+9% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.11.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
01.09.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
28.06.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
07.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
21.10.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-3
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus swept aside Tallinna Kalev 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Parnu JK Vaprus found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 49% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 51%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 0.83 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Tallinna Kalev 0-3 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 33%, draw 27%, Parnu JK Vaprus 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✗ BTTS Yes
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