Portland Timbers 3-0 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒05:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.96
Over Pick
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1
21%
7.04
2-3
36%
2.2
4-5
27%
2.46
6+
16%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.72
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.35
X/2
8%
7.18
X/X
11%
6.53
2/1
9%
20.25
2/2
24%
4.06
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.0pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake The Market 34%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +25%
1.58/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.95
+13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.1 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
18.05.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
11.05.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-4 HT 1-2 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABDK
10.10.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-1 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
24.04.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
05.12.2021 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
3-0
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.62 xG 0.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
361 Passes 502
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
38 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers cruised past Real Salt Lake 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Portland Timbers made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 42% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 58%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.62 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.33 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?

Portland Timbers 3-0 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 39%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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