St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Vancouver Whitecaps — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
3-1
HT 2-0
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
St. Louis City 1-4 Vancouver Whitecaps — Actual Match Statistics
Vancouver Whitecaps swept aside St. Louis City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was St. Louis City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, St. Louis City had 47% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 53%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.30 to 2.73.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Louis City and 2.67 for Vancouver Whitecaps.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
St. Louis City 1-4 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 47%, draw 23%, Vancouver Whitecaps 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Louis City) went the other way.