York United vs Valour Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v Valour — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Valour Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Valour
CAPL
York United 3-2 Valour — Actual Match Statistics
York United edged past Valour 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had York United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, York United had 44% of the ball to Valour's 56%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 2.34 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold York United's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valour led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for York United and 1.33 for Valour.
What was the final score of York United vs Valour?
York United 3-2 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs Valour?
Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split York United 46%, draw 28%, Valour 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.