Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Largo v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 3-1
Cerro Largo
URU
Cerro Largo 1-1 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 8-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.17 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Cerro Largo 1-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 36%, draw 28%, Defensor Sporting 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.