Cerro Largo 1-0 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 33% vs market 19.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.7pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.19/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.10
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
211 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.05.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-2 HT 2-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
23.03.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
28.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 3-0 HT 2-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
26.05.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-1 HT 3-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
22.10.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
19.03.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-3 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
FAQ Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cerro Largo edged past Defensor Sporting 1-0 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14 Sep 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.83 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?

Cerro Largo 1-0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 37%, draw 33%, Defensor Sporting 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5
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