Danubio 5-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.29/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.09
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Cerro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
14.11.2024 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
22.06.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
11.05.2024 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.10.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
12.03.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
5-1
AWAY Cerro
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
FAQ Danubio vs Cerro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Danubio ran out comfortable winners over Cerro 5-1 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14 Sep 2025. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Danubio had 58% of the ball to Cerro's 42%, shots finished 14-7.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Danubio and 0.67 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Cerro?

Danubio 5-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Danubio 47%, draw 26%, Cerro 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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