CA River Plate 0-0 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.12/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.32
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Progreso
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Progreso Progreso 2-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
19.10.2024 Progreso Progreso 2-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
09.06.2024 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
21.04.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-2 HT 1-1 Progreso Progreso URU
09.10.2021 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
12.06.2021 CA River Plate CA River Plate 4-0 HT 3-0 Progreso Progreso URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
0-0
AWAY Progreso
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Progreso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate and Progreso fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Progreso at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CA River Plate had 50% of the ball to Progreso's 50%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA River Plate and 1.33 for Progreso.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Progreso?

CA River Plate 0-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated an Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 34%, draw 25%, Progreso 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Progreso) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Progreso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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