FA Siauliai II 1-4 Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 51%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.62/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.00
+32% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
328 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zalgiris II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2026 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 4-0 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
19.10.2025 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-4 HT 0-3 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
14.06.2025 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 2-1 HT 1-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
23.10.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
05.06.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 3-0 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
25.10.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai II
1-4
AWAY Zalgiris II
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II cruised past FA Siauliai II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FA Siauliai II and 2.17 for Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Zalgiris II?

FA Siauliai II 1-4 Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 31%, draw 25%, Zalgiris II 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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