TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Atmosfera win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
60%
Away Win
62%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 66%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.55/2.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/0.36
+64% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
386 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
03.04.2026 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
30.08.2025 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
03.05.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius saw off Atmosfera 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Atmosfera carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 0.67 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Atmosfera?

TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 19%, draw 21%, Atmosfera 60%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
14 Aug 2026
18:30 Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II Analysis →
19:00 Ekranas vs Minija Analysis →
19:00 Kauno Zalgiris II vs Lietava Jonava Analysis →
19:00 FA Siauliai II vs Zalgiris II Analysis →