Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.28/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.49
+7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +109%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Lietava Jonava
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
04.04.2026 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 3-1 HT 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
09.08.2025 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
05.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
29.07.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-0 HT 0-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II edged past Lietava Jonava 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lietava Jonava at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.00 for Lietava Jonava.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Lietava Jonava?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 28%, draw 24%, Lietava Jonava 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lietava Jonava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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