Be1 NFA 2-1 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.64
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
12%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Be1 NFA win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
56%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
12%
Away Win
22%
-10.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.2pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.62/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.05
-10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Hegelmann II
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II 0-3 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
17.10.2025 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-3 HT 1-1 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II LIT1
13.06.2025 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II 1-2 HT 1-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
04.08.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II LIT1
07.03.2024 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II 1-3 HT 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
2-1
AWAY Hegelmann II
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA nicked a narrow win over Hegelmann II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Be1 NFA and 1.00 for Hegelmann II.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II?

Be1 NFA 2-1 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 64%, draw 24%, Hegelmann II 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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