Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
25.10.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
12.04.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 4-0 HT 2-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
28.10.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-2 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
27.03.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
26.10.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
COMMENT Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of Alebrijes de Oaxaca's last 5 home league games, while over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Tepatitlán de Morelos's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.00 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

When do Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Tepatitlán de Morelos play?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca play Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/08/2026, kick-off 04:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Our model's prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos is an Tepatitlán de Morelos win at about 40% probability, priced 2.39 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Alebrijes de Oaxaca 38%, draw 22%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 40%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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