Leones Negros Udeg 2-3 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.61
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
Over Pick
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.54
No
39%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
13%
2-3
42%
4-5
33%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leones Negros Udeg The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz The Market 24%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.19
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.03.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
13.10.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
06.05.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
03.05.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
28.03.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-4 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
23.08.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-0 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
REVIEW Leones Negros Udeg vs CA La Paz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

CA La Paz squeezed past Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 1-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

This one beat our numbers. Leones Negros Udeg carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (61%) came home.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA La Paz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Leones Negros Udeg against 2.00 for CA La Paz.

Leones Negros Udeg vs CA La Paz Result & Final Score

Leones Negros Udeg 2 - 3 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leones Negros Udeg vs CA La Paz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 63%, draw 19%, CA La Paz 18%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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