Nacional Asuncion 4-1 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.04/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.18
-15% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2025 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
25.05.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
23.03.2025 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
25.11.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
13.09.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
22.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
4-1
AWAY Club Olimpia
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion cruised past Club Olimpia 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Nacional Asuncion made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 55% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 45%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.67 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Club Olimpia?

Nacional Asuncion 4-1 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 36%, draw 29%, Club Olimpia 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Under 2.5
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