Libertad (Ekvador) vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Ecuador - Premier, 14 Sep 2026

📅14/09/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.56
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
53%
1.85
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad (Ekvador)
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.78
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
223 Passes 365
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2026 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-3 HT 0-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
07.12.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-1 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
04.11.2025 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 1-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
14.06.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
16.02.2025 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
21.09.2024 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
PREVIEW Libertad (Ekvador) vs Independiente Del Valle
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Independiente Del Valle, but not by enough to write Libertad (Ekvador) off.

The home form book backs Libertad (Ekvador): 4 wins in their last 5 league games; meanwhile, Independiente Del Valle's recent away league games have been goal-heavy — 4 of the last 5 cleared 2.5.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad (Ekvador) have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Libertad (Ekvador) and 1.33 for Independiente Del Valle.

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Independiente Del Valle Kick-off Time

Libertad (Ekvador) play Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/09/2026, kick-off 02:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Independiente Del Valle Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Libertad (Ekvador) vs Independiente Del Valle is an Independiente Del Valle win at about 53% probability, priced 1.85 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Libertad (Ekvador) 22%, draw 25%, Independiente Del Valle 53%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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