Güney Afrika 3-0 Ruanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
3.06
No
54%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
78%
-10.5pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
28%
+17.1pp
54%
BTTS No
72%
-17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruanda EU Bookmakers 8%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.24/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.01/1.03
-54% / -74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / +138%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
428 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Afrika
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ruanda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.30 xG 0.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
410 Passes 203
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Ruanda Ruanda 2-0 HT 2-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Afrika
3-0
AWAY Ruanda
1.21 xG 0.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
496 Passes 279
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 5
14 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Güney Afrika vs Ruanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Afrika ran out comfortable winners over Ruanda 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Güney Afrika as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Güney Afrika had 63% of the ball to Ruanda's 37%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.21 to 0.08.

What was the final score of Güney Afrika vs Ruanda?

Güney Afrika 3-0 Ruanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Afrika vs Ruanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Afrika win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Güney Afrika 67%, draw 19%, Ruanda 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Afrika), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Afrika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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