Honduras vs Haiti Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Honduras v Haiti — Team-Based Signals
Honduras vs Haiti Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Haiti
GK
1-0
HT 1-0
Honduras
GK
0-2
HT 0-1
Honduras
GK
1-0
HT 0-0
Haiti
GK
Honduras 3-0 Haiti — Actual Match Statistics
Honduras swept aside Haiti 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Honduras as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Honduras had 44% of the ball to Haiti's 56%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.82 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Honduras had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Honduras and 0.40 for Haiti.
What was the final score of Honduras vs Haiti?
Honduras 3-0 Haiti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Honduras vs Haiti?
Before kick-off our model rated a Honduras win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Honduras 41%, draw 28%, Haiti 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Honduras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.