Kosta Rika vs Nikaragua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kosta Rika v Nikaragua — Team-Based Signals
Kosta Rika vs Nikaragua Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Nikaragua
GK
Kosta Rika 4-1 Nikaragua — Actual Match Statistics
Kosta Rika swept aside Nikaragua 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kosta Rika as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Kosta Rika had 35% of the ball to Nikaragua's 65%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.51 to 0.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kosta Rika had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kosta Rika and 0.50 for Nikaragua.
What was the final score of Kosta Rika vs Nikaragua?
Kosta Rika 4-1 Nikaragua in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kosta Rika vs Nikaragua?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 73%, draw 15%, Nikaragua 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosta Rika), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.