Kosta Rika vs Nikaragua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Kosta Rika v Nikaragua — Team-Based Signals
Kosta Rika vs Nikaragua Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Kosta Rika 4-1 Nikaragua — Actual Match Statistics
Kosta Rika swept aside Nikaragua 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kosta Rika as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.
Under the surface, Nikaragua saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.51 to 0.20.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kosta Rika had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Kosta Rika against 0.50 for Nikaragua.
Kosta Rika vs Nikaragua Result & Final Score
Kosta Rika 4 - 1 Nikaragua in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Kosta Rika vs Nikaragua Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 83%, draw 11%, Nikaragua 6%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosta Rika), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.