Estonya vs Moldova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Estonya v Moldova — Team-Based Signals
Estonya vs Moldova Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Estonya 1-1 Moldova — Actual Match Statistics
Estonya and Moldova shared the points in a 1-1 draw. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
Our pre-match lean was Estonya at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Estonya had 61% of the ball to Moldova's 39%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 0.84 to 0.85.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estonya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estonya and 1.00 for Moldova.
Estonya vs Moldova Result & Final Score
Estonya 1 - 1 Moldova in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Estonya vs Moldova Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Estonya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Estonya 42%, draw 30%, Moldova 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estonya) went the other way.