Estonya vs Moldova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estonya v Moldova — Team-Based Signals
Estonya vs Moldova Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Estonya 1-1 Moldova — Actual Match Statistics
Estonya and Moldova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Estonya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Estonya had 61% of the ball to Moldova's 39%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 0.84 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estonya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estonya and 1.00 for Moldova.
What was the final score of Estonya vs Moldova?
Estonya 1-1 Moldova in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estonya vs Moldova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estonya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estonya 41%, draw 24%, Moldova 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estonya) went the other way.