Somali 0-1 Mozambik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somali EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Mozambik EU Bookmakers 70%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.20/2.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-59% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% /
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
217 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somali
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mozambik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
07.06.2024 Mozambik Mozambik 2-1 HT 2-0 Somali Somali DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Somali
0-1
AWAY Mozambik
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Somali vs Mozambik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mozambik squeezed past Somali 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mozambik as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Somali had 44% of the ball to Mozambik's 56%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Somali vs Mozambik?

Somali 0-1 Mozambik in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somali vs Mozambik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mozambik win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Somali 16%, draw 26%, Mozambik 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mozambik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mozambik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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