Nijerya 4-0 Benin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Benin EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.89/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.90
-44% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
14.5 Crosses 9.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijerya
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Benin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.01 xG 0.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
437 Passes 240
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2024 Benin Benin 1-1 HT 1-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
07.09.2024 Nijerya Nijerya 3-0 HT 1-0 Benin Benin AFUK
10.06.2024 Benin Benin 2-1 HT 2-1 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
27.03.2021 Benin Benin 0-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
13.11.2019 Nijerya Nijerya 2-1 HT 1-1 Benin Benin AFUK
16.01.2010 Nijerya Nijerya 1-0 HT 1-0 Benin Benin AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya
4-0
AWAY Benin
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Nijerya vs Benin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya cruised past Benin 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nijerya as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nijerya had 46% of the ball to Benin's 54%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nijerya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nijerya and 0.67 for Benin.

What was the final score of Nijerya vs Benin?

Nijerya 4-0 Benin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Benin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 60%, draw 25%, Benin 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nijerya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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