Benin 1-1 Nijerya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
55%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.54
Over 2.5
50%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.39
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.17
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
61%
-11.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
39%
+11.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benin EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijerya EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.25/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.74
-18% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
226 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
7.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
15.4 Crosses 20.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benin
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Nijerya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.23 xG 1.49
42% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
296 Passes 403
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Nijerya Nijerya 3-0 HT 1-0 Benin Benin AFUK
10.06.2024 Benin Benin 2-1 HT 2-1 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
27.03.2021 Benin Benin 0-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
13.11.2019 Nijerya Nijerya 2-1 HT 1-1 Benin Benin AFUK
16.01.2010 Nijerya Nijerya 1-0 HT 1-0 Benin Benin AFUK
29.01.2008 Nijerya Nijerya 2-0 HT 0-0 Benin Benin AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benin
1-1
AWAY Nijerya
0.71 xG 0.53
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
184 Passes 471
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Benin vs Nijerya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benin and Nijerya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Nijerya carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Benin had 32% of the ball to Nijerya's 68%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.71 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nijerya led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Benin and 1.67 for Nijerya.

What was the final score of Benin vs Nijerya?

Benin 1-1 Nijerya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benin vs Nijerya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Benin 20%, draw 25%, Nijerya 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nijerya) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
14 Nov 2024
16:00 Lesotho vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Analysis →
16:00 Ekvator Ginesi vs Cezayir Analysis →
16:00 Güney Sudan vs Kongo Analysis →
18:00 Burundi vs Lesotho Analysis →
19:00 Madagaskar vs Tunus Analysis →
19:00 Ruanda vs Libya Analysis →