Ekvator Ginesi 0-0 Cezayir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
5.84
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+9.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cezayir EU Bookmakers 49%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.03/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/2.44
-100% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -59%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
243 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
11.0 Crosses 9.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekvator Ginesi
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cezayir
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.38 xG 2.48
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
172 Passes 345
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2024 Cezayir Cezayir 2-0 HT 0-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi AFUK
16.01.2022 Cezayir Cezayir 0-1 HT 0-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvator Ginesi
0-0
AWAY Cezayir
1.09 xG 0.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
359 Passes 409
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ekvator Ginesi vs Cezayir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvator Ginesi and Cezayir fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ekvator Ginesi had 48% of the ball to Cezayir's 52%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.09 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ekvator Ginesi and 1.00 for Cezayir.

What was the final score of Ekvator Ginesi vs Cezayir?

Ekvator Ginesi 0-0 Cezayir in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvator Ginesi vs Cezayir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ekvator Ginesi 35%, draw 28%, Cezayir 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cezayir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cezayir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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