Nijer 4-0 Sudan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 14 Nov 2024

Nijer
4-0 HT 3-0
Sudan
📅14/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
39%
2.7
Away
29%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
12%
7.63
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
39%
Draw
33%
+5.8pp
29%
Away Win
39%
-9.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijer EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sudan EU Bookmakers 43%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
243 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijer
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sudan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.22 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
222 Passes 315
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.09.2024 Sudan Sudan 1-0 HT 0-0 Nijer Nijer AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijer
4-0
AWAY Sudan
1.74 xG 0.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
304 Passes 217
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 9
4 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nijer vs Sudan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijer cruised past Sudan 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 39% / 29% — and on the day Nijer made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Nijer had 54% of the ball to Sudan's 46%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.74 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Nijer vs Sudan?

Nijer 4-0 Sudan in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijer vs Sudan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nijer 32%, draw 39%, Sudan 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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