Madagaskar vs Tunus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Madagaskar v Tunus — Team-Based Signals
Madagaskar vs Tunus Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Madagaskar 2-3 Tunus — Actual Match Statistics
Tunus found just enough to beat Madagaskar 3-2 away from home. It stood 2-2 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tunus as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Tunus saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.44 to 1.67 — on chances created, Tunus won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tunus led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.00 a game for Madagaskar against 2.00 for Tunus.
Madagaskar vs Tunus Result & Final Score
Madagaskar 2 - 3 Tunus in the Africa Cup of Nations on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Madagaskar vs Tunus Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 13%, draw 26%, Tunus 61%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tunus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.