Madagaskar vs Tunus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madagaskar v Tunus — Team-Based Signals
Madagaskar vs Tunus Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Tunus
AFUK
Madagaskar 2-3 Tunus — Actual Match Statistics
Tunus edged past Madagaskar 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tunus as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Madagaskar had 35% of the ball to Tunus's 65%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.44 to 1.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tunus's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tunus led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Madagaskar and 2.00 for Tunus.
What was the final score of Madagaskar vs Tunus?
Madagaskar 2-3 Tunus in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madagaskar vs Tunus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 20%, draw 26%, Tunus 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tunus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.