Ruanda vs Libya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ruanda v Libya — Team-Based Signals
Ruanda vs Libya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Ruanda 0-1 Libya — Actual Match Statistics
Libya edged past Ruanda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Ruanda at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Ruanda had 57% of the ball to Libya's 43%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 1.05 to 0.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ruanda.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Libya led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ruanda and 1.00 for Libya.
What was the final score of Ruanda vs Libya?
Ruanda 0-1 Libya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ruanda vs Libya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ruanda win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ruanda 47%, draw 32%, Libya 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ruanda) went the other way.