Ruanda vs Libya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ruanda v Libya — Team-Based Signals
Ruanda vs Libya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Ruanda 0-1 Libya — Actual Match Statistics
Libya edged past Ruanda 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ruanda at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) landed.
On the day, possession split 57% to 43% in Ruanda's favour, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 1.05 to 0.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ruanda.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Libya led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Ruanda against 1.00 for Libya.
Ruanda vs Libya Result & Final Score
Ruanda 0 - 1 Libya in the Africa Cup of Nations on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ruanda vs Libya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ruanda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ruanda 55%, draw 29%, Libya 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ruanda) went the other way.