Al Duhail SC 1-0 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.74
Over 2.5
64%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.03
2-3 Goals
33%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.46
6+ Goals
17%
5.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.1pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.35/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.66
+26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
9.0 Crosses 5.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Duhail SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 Passes 359
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
23.04.2025 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATVPK
29.03.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
27.10.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
01.03.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
14.10.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-2 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
1-0
AWAY Al Gharafa
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC squeezed past Al Gharafa 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 58% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 42%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Duhail SC and 1.33 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa?

Al Duhail SC 1-0 Al Gharafa in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 46%, draw 23%, Al Gharafa 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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