Slaven Belupo 2-5 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
0.82/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.97
-30% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
18.4 Crosses 21.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.90 xG 2.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
244 Passes 407
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
10.05.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 HT 3-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
09.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
06.12.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
21.09.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 4-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
18.05.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-3 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
2-5
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.91 xG 2.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
285 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb cruised past Slaven Belupo 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 47% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 53%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.91 to 2.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Slaven Belupo and 2.50 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Slaven Belupo 2-5 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 23%, draw 25%, Dinamo Zagreb 52%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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