Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 14 Dec 2025

Rakow Czestochowa
0-1 HT 0-0
Zaglebie Lubin
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.92
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.25
X/1
21%
3.97
X/2
4%
12.2
X/X
7%
5.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
8%
10.6
2/X
9%
18.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rakow Czestochowa v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.77/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.65
-12% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.4 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.15 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
400 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2025 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
22.09.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 5-1 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
04.05.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
05.11.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 5-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
27.05.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
12.11.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 HT 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL

Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
0-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
0.90 xG 1.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
299 Passes 217
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin edged past Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Rakow Czestochowa carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 56% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 44%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.90 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 0.83 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 62%, draw 22%, Zaglebie Lubin 16%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Over 2.5
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