Legia Varşova 0-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.74
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.64
X/2
8%
7.68
X/X
11%
4.49
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
16%
5.98
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.55/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.46
-31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.0 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
335 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.12.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
08.02.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
04.08.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-2 HT 1-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
17.03.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-1 HT 2-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
16.09.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
19.02.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
0-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.65 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice nicked a narrow win over Legia Varşova 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 52% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 48%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.65 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.17 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice?

Legia Varşova 0-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 47%, draw 24%, Piast Gliwice 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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