Piast Gliwice 2-0 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.76
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
10%
6.47
X/2
20%
5.06
X/X
13%
4.41
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.26
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -20%
1.03/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.16
-33% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
16.8 Crosses 23.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 0.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
316 Passes 372
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
04.08.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-2 HT 1-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
17.03.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-1 HT 2-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
16.09.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
19.02.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
05.08.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
2-0
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.51 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
188 Passes 192
63% Pass Accuracy 61%
25 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice saw off Legia Varşova 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 49% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 51%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.51 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.33 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Legia Varşova?

Piast Gliwice 2-0 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 31%, draw 26%, Legia Varşova 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Legia Varşova), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
6 Dec 2025
14:15 Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin Analysis →
16:45 Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom Analysis →
19:30 Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Lodz Analysis →