Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.51
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
16%
5.27
X/2
11%
5.99
X/X
9%
4.57
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.27
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.37/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.26
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.4 Crosses 21.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
291 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POLK
19.07.2025 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
10.05.2025 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 HT 2-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
09.11.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
12.05.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
11.11.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.90 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
282 Passes 316
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin squeezed past Widzew Lodz 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zaglebie Lubin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 50% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 50%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.90 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.17 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Lodz?

Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 42%, draw 26%, Widzew Lodz 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✓ BTTS Yes
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