Pogon Szczecin 2-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.91
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
18%
5.25
X/2
9%
7.13
X/X
11%
5.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.1
2/2
10%
4.69
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.7pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.97/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.40
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.4 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.98 xG 1.18
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
410 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 5-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
10.05.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
08.11.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-1 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
16.02.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-4 HT 0-3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
13.08.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.05.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
2-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.23 xG 0.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
226 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin and Radomiak Radom couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 44% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 56%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.23 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.67 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

Pogon Szczecin 2-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 50%, draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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