Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arka Gdynia v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals
Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Motor Lublin
POL1
Arka Gdynia 1-0 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics
Arka Gdynia nicked a narrow win over Motor Lublin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Arka Gdynia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arka Gdynia had 40% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 60%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.27 to 0.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arka Gdynia's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.00 for Motor Lublin.
What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin?
Arka Gdynia 1-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 39%, draw 27%, Motor Lublin 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.