Portimonense U23 1-0 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.57
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
35%
+12.7pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.3pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.71/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.10
-46% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
16.04.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
05.02.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
04.12.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
17.09.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 3-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
04.03.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-0
AWAY Santa Clara U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara U23 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portimonense U23 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 48% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 52%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portimonense U23 and 0.50 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Portimonense U23 1-0 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 48%, draw 21%, Santa Clara U23 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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