Cruz Azul 2-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Jan 2026

📅15/01/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.03
Over
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.64
2-3
36%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.11
6+
11%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.64 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Cruz Azul win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
68%
-3.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas The Market 15%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.06/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.76
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
26.4 Crosses 12.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Atlas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.89 xG 1.78
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
428 Passes 226
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Atlas Atlas 3-3 HT 2-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
12.01.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
07.11.2024 Atlas Atlas 2-2 HT 1-2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
22.04.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-2 HT 1-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
02.07.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
07.05.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
2-0
AWAY Atlas
0.91 xG 0.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
342 Passes 366
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul got the better of Atlas 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 48% of the ball to Atlas's 52%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.91 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.83 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Atlas?

Cruz Azul 2-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 15/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 65%, draw 20%, Atlas 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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