Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tigres UANL 0-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM edged past Tigres UANL 1-0 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Tigres UANL carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 68% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 32%, shots finished 32-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.00 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM?
Tigres UANL 0-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 15/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 57%, draw 23%, Pumas UNAM 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.