Tigres UANL 0-1 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Jan 2026

📅15/01/2026 · 🕒06:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.09
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.52
6+
11%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Tigres UANL win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM The Market 21%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.73/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.61
+2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.3 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
368 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
20.04.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
02.09.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-3 HT 1-2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
04.02.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-2 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
11.12.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
08.12.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
0-1
AWAY Pumas UNAM
68% Ball Possession 32%
32 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
18 Corners 2
509 Passes 201
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM edged past Tigres UANL 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Tigres UANL carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 68% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 32%, shots finished 32-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.00 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM?

Tigres UANL 0-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 15/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 57%, draw 23%, Pumas UNAM 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Under 2.5
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