Queretaro vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queretaro v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Queretaro vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Queretaro 1-2 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana nicked a narrow win over Queretaro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Queretaro at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Queretaro had 51% of the ball to Tijuana's 49%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.82 to 0.41 — on chances, Queretaro could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queretaro and 1.00 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Queretaro vs Tijuana?
Queretaro 1-2 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 15/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 41%, draw 26%, Tijuana 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.