Cavese 1-1 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.01
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
0.75/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.81
-38% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Picerno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-1 Cavese Cavese İTC
22.01.2020 Picerno Picerno 3-1 HT 1-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-1
AWAY Picerno
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese and Picerno shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cavese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Cavese had 50% of the ball to Picerno's 50%, shots finished 17-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cavese and 2.00 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Picerno?

Cavese 1-1 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cavese 42%, draw 27%, Picerno 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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